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SAMBa Conference 2026

Welcome #

Welcome to the 10th SAMBa Summer Conference, taking place Thursday 2nd and Friday 3rd of July 2026.

The SAMBa conference is an opportunity for students to showcase their work to members of the department, outside the department, and at other Universities in a supportive environment. The work of SAMBa students covers the entire spectrum of statistical applied mathematics: including projects in statistics, probability, analysis, numerical analysis, mathematical biology, fluid dynamics, machine learning, and high-performance computing.

Location & Travel

Wolfson Lecture Theatre, 4 West Room 1.7
Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath
Claverton Down, Bath, BA2 7AY

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Registration #

Registration for the 2026 SAMBa Summer Conference is now closed. If you have already registered and need to update your details, dietary requirements, or cancel your attendance, please get in touch with one of the organisers below.

Registration Closed

All attendees are expected to follow the SAMBa Conference Code of Conduct.


Schedule #

Thursday (2nd July) #

9:20 - 9:30
Arrivals and registration
9:30 - 9:45
Welcome
9:45 - 10:45
Keynote Talk: Chris Nemeth
10:45 - 11:00
Break
11:00 - 12:15
Student Talks: Caroline Purvis, Matt Evans, David Tudor
12:15 - 12:30
Sponsor Talk: Syngenta
12:30 - 13:30
Lunch
13:30 - 14:30
Keynote Talk: Michael Roberts
14:30 - 15:45
Student Talks: David Jones, Amin Sabir, Bill Nunn
15:45 - 16:00
Break
16:00 - 17:00
Keynote Talk: Alan Champneys
17:00 - 18:00
Poster Session
18:00
Walk down to Conference Dinner at Mantra

Friday (3rd July) #

9:30 - 9:45
Arrivals
9:45 - 10:45
Keynote Talk: Andreas Søjmark
10:45 - 11:00
Break
11:00 - 12:15
Student Talks: Chuanjie Wu, Elliot Butterworth, John Carlo Dimaculangan
12:15 - 12:30
Sponsor Talk: Diamond Light Source
12:30 - 13:30
Lunch
13:30 - 14:30
Keynote Talk: Susana Gomes
14:30 - 15:00
Break + Conference photo
15:00 - 15:45
Lightning Talks
15:45 - 16:45
Speaker Awards and Closing remarks

Keynote Speakers #

Chris Nemeth, Lancaster University

Title: From Graphs to Hypergraphs: Geometry-Aware Generative Modelling by Heat Diffusion

Abstract: Graphs and hypergraphs provide natural representations for complex relational systems, from molecules and social networks to biological interaction systems, co-authorship data and knowledge structures. Yet generating new realistic graphs or hypergraphs from training data remains challenging: these objects are discrete, combinatorial, permutation-symmetric and strongly structured. Generative modelling asks how we can learn from observed examples and then produce new examples with similar statistical and structural properties. Recent developments in machine learning, including diffusion and flow-based generative models, have transformed generative modelling for continuous data, but their direct application to relational objects can obscure the geometry that makes graphs and hypergraphs distinctive.

In this talk, I will describe a geometry-aware approach to graph generation based on continuous-time diffusion processes defined directly from graph operators. The first part of the talk will focus on simple graphs represented by adjacency matrices. I will introduce a generator-matching framework in which the graph Laplacian and its heat kernel define a topology-aware forward noising process. This heat diffusion progressively smooths graph structure in a manner determined by the graph itself. The associated infinitesimal generator can then be learned by a neural surrogate and reversed, using the probability flow ODE, to generate new graphs.

The second part extends this perspective from pairwise graphs to higher-order relational data. Here, I will consider a structured stochastic diffusion model for hypergraph generation defined directly on incidence matrices. Using a two-sided heat operator acting across both nodes and hyperedges, together with an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck component, we obtain a forward process with a tractable Gaussian terminal law. This process preserves hypergraph-aware structure near the data while enabling reverse-time generation from a universal base distribution.

Taken together, these works show how the operators that describe relational structure can also be used to design generative models, leading to graph and hypergraph generators with clearer geometry, stronger inductive bias and a more principled connection between structure and stochastic dynamics.

Michael Roberts, University of Cambridge

Title: Reproducibility crises in machine learning: root causes, potential solutions and the road to the clinic

Abstract: Machine learning has a reproducibility problem. Across published work it is routinely difficult to reproduce reported results even with the code, the models and the data to hand. The consequences run from wasted effort to unsafe conclusions. I will argue this is no accident: each link in the chain from data, through code and models, to papers and peer review is systematically compromised, and I will trace several of the root causes. I will look in particular at missing data and imputation, where standard quality metrics such as mean squared error can be actively misleading and a distributional view (e.g. the Wasserstein distance) is more faithful. I will then turn to what reproducibility demands once we want to use a model rather than merely publish it, drawing on our work translating an AI algorithm for coronary OCT imaging from a research prototype towards a regulated clinical tool. The mathematics, software engineering and the incentives all have to line up and quite often don’t.

Alan Champneys, University of Bristol

Title: The dynamics of working with industry

Abstract: In this talk I shall share my personal experience how, as an academic with a background in applied dynamical systems, in the second half of my career I have developed an approach to working with industry and external partners. I shall illustrate via a few examples of projects I have worked on at the industrial/academic interface. I shall also describe some of the current mechanisms and opportunities for knowledge exchange, coordinated by the UK KE Hub for the mathematical sciences. But, most of all, I shall try to explain how working on applied projects is a 'people sport' that involves a lot of listening and networking. I have also found that while knowledge exchange rarely requires your precise area ofexpertise, it does not necessarily mean selling your mathematical soul. Often external partners look to work with mathematical scientists because we are blue-sky thinkers, people who can spot connections between seemingly disparate topics. Nevertheless, in my experience, working on genuinely applied problems sometimes has the uncanny benefit of to feedback into cool new areas of fundamental research.

Andreas Søjmark, London School of Economics

Title: A Moving boundary problem for Brownian particles with singular forward-backward interactions

Abstract: In this talk, we shall consider a system of Brownian particles, each of which is absorbed upon hitting an associated moving boundary. The dynamics of the boundaries are determined by the conditional probabilities of the particles being absorbed before some final time horizon, given the current knowledge of the system. While the particles evolve forward in time, the conditional probabilities must be resolved backward in time, thus giving rise to a system of singular forward-backward SDEs coupled through hitting times. We will see that its analysis leads to a novel type of tiered moving boundary problem, with each level corresponding to a different configuration of unabsorbed particles. We shall discuss the well-posedness of this problem and relate it rigorously to the original forward-backward system. Moreover, we will discuss an application to the study of contagion in financial networks, and we will give some illustrations of how the system behaves.

Susana Gomes, University of Warwick

Title: Modelling and control of opinion dynamics on evolving networks

Abstract: The field of opinion dynamics has recently seen a large interest from the mathematics community, both from modelling and control perspectives. Most works focus on the Hegselmann-Krause model, a bounded confidence model that assumes everyone can communicate with everyone else as long as their opinions are close enough. Typical results focus on analysing whether the system achieves consensus, and control strategies aim to steer a population towards consensus (or make it so more quickly) by using controls that act directly on agents.

In this talk, after an overview on my research and experience, I will explore different ways of making these models more realistic, from (a) having opinions evolve within a social network that constrains communication between agents (b) restricting controls to a subset of the network, and (c) considering one-to-one Boltzmann-type interactions with different types of agents who can lie to steer the system, with the overall goal of optimising the system dynamics to achieve consensus.


Student Speakers #

Session 1: Thursday, 11:00-12:15

Caroline Purvis

Title: Evaporation of a sessile droplet into a confined atmosphere

Matt Evans

Title: Advances in Modelling Diffusive Regimes in Neutronics

David Tudor

Title: The challenges of small scales with phase-field models

Caroline Purvis

Title: Evaporation of a sessile droplet into a confined atmosphere

Abstract: The evaporation of sessile droplets is a challenging and industrially relevant problem that has been the subject of intensive multidisciplinary research, with most previous studies focusing on an isolated droplet in an unbounded atmosphere. By contrast, our recent work addresses the diffusion-limited evaporation of a thin axisymmetric droplet into an atmosphere confined to an open- or closed-ended cylinder. We find that for closed cylinders the usual quasi-steady approximation is not appropriate, necessitating solving a challenging mixed boundary value problem for the unsteady diffusion of vapour away from the droplet. Initially, we examine a simplified model where the droplet fully covers the base of the cylinder, which highlights that under certain conditions, a droplet in a closed cylinder may not fully evaporate. We explore the effect of varying the extent of the confinement on the evolution and lifetime of a droplet evaporating in constant radius mode. We then discuss numerical results and preliminary analytical work for the full mixed boundary value problem.

Matt Evans

Title: Advances in Modelling Diffusive Regimes in Neutronics

Abstract: Neutronics is a developing field with far-reaching consequences in energy production, space technologies, and radiotherapy. Accurately modelling neutron scattering is critical to predicting the behaviour of these systems. However, certain regimes pose significant challenges, particularly when neutrons transition from a transport-dominated regime to diffusion-like behaviour. This transition can cause difficulties both for numerical discretisation and for the convergence of iterative solvers. In this talk, I will discuss these challenges and present recent work using modern numerical methods to address them.

David Tudor

Title: The challenges of small scales with phase-field models

Abstract: Tracking a moving boundary in a multiphase system can be challenging. Instead, the phase-field method implicitly locates the interface and phase changes are modelled to occur smoothly over a small width, ε. However, phase-field models contain small time and length scales which lead to fixed spatial discretisation performing poorly in the sharp-interface limit as ε tends to 0. Achieving an ε-robust solver requires an adaptive moving mesh and effective preconditioning of the iterative method. We consider a model of an ice-water system and implement some of these techniques in Dedalus and Firedrake, which are spectral and finite element solvers respectively. Then, we measure how their errors scale with the time step, degrees of freedom, and in the sharp-interface limit.

Session 2: Thursday, 14:30-15:45

David Jones

Title: Bayesian Sample Size Determination for Analysis of Covariance in Randomised Controlled Trials Incorporating Historical Data

Amin Sabir

Title: Learned regularisation methods for light-sheet fluorescence microscopy

Bill Nunn

Title: Hawk-Dove in finite populations

David Jones

Title: Bayesian Sample Size Determination for Analysis of Covariance in Randomised Controlled Trials Incorporating Historical Data

Abstract: Sample size determination is a fundamental step in designing clinical studies. In randomised controlled trials, regulators endorse adjusting for baseline covariates through analysis of covariance. Existing methods matched to this adopt a frequentist perspective, maintaining type I error and power, using initial estimates of certain parameters. We develop a Bayesian approach incorporating historical data, deriving sample size formulae.

Consider settings with a continuous prognostic baseline covariate and normally distributed outcome with correlation ρ. We represent historical data by a prior for the bivariate normal mean for each treatment, yielding a conditional posterior distribution for the treatment effect given covariate information. For two-arm trials, these formulae ensure a probability of correctly deciding whether a new treatment is superior to control by some clinically relevant difference. For a known covariance matrix, a reduction is shown by 1-ρ². For unknown covariances, an Inverse-Wishart prior captures historical information, showing a non-linear reduction.

Amin Sabir

Title: Learned regularisation methods for light-sheet fluorescence microscopy

Abstract: Light-sheet fluorescence microscopy (LSFM) enables high-speed volumetric imaging of biological samples (e.g. cells and plant tissue) with reduced phototoxicity compared to conventional fluorescence techniques. However, image quality is often degraded by spatially varying blur and mixed Poisson–Gaussian noise. While physics-based frameworks account for these effects, they often fail to capture the complex structural variability of biological specimens. Conversely, “unrolled” deep learning methods, such as the Richardson–Lucy network (RLN), can produce high-quality reconstructions but lack flexibility, requiring retraining when imaging conditions change.

To address these challenges, we propose a modular reconstruction framework that decouples the physical imaging model from the learned image prior. Built upon structured primal–dual optimisation schemes, including the primal-dual three operator splitting (PD3O) and non-linear primal-dual hybrid gradient (PDHG) algorithms, our approach incorporates a learned gradient-step denoiser as an explicit component of the reconstruction algorithm. This learned component acts as a data-driven regulariser, promoting structurally consistent reconstructions while remaining independent of the forward model.

As a result, the same denoiser can be reused across different imaging modalities, such as LSFM, widefield, and confocal microscopy, by simply adapting the forward operator. Preliminary results on both synthetic and experimental datasets demonstrate the potential of this approach as a flexible and robust framework for high-quality microscopy reconstruction.

Bill Nunn

Title: Hawk-Dove in finite populations

Abstract: Deterministic evolutionary game theory makes no distinction between a monomorphic population of individuals all of whom share a mixed evolutionarily stable strategy, and a polymorphic population of players of pure strategies present in a ratio that reproduces the mixed strategy on average. The so-called trembling hand hypothesis posits that in finite populations demographic noise selects for monomorphism, however, simulation studies have found contradictory results in some situations. Here we resolve this discrepancy by conducting a theoretical analysis of the paradigmatic Hawk-Dove game using timescale separation. We characterise the emergence of polymorphism driven by stochastic effects, finding long-lasting polymorphic states in certain conditions.

Session 3: Friday, 11:00-12:15

Chuanjie Wu

Title: Norm-resolvent convergence and wave propagation in periodic resonant media

Elliot Butterworth

Title: Slow evolution towards generalism in a model of variable dietary range

John Carlo Dimaculangan

Title: Multi-stage volume exclusion models for cell proliferation

Chuanjie Wu

Title: Norm-resolvent convergence and wave propagation in periodic resonant media

Abstract: This work studies the effective behaviour of wave propagation in periodic resonant media modelled by thin structures. We consider a family of periodic thin domains equipped with the Neumann Laplacian, where the small ‘thickness’ parameter describes the passage from a higher-dimensional structure to an effective lower-dimensional model. The main objective is to justify rigorously the limiting operator that governs the macroscopic wave behaviour as the ‘thickness’ parameter tends to zero.

Using norm-resolvent convergence, we derive an effective model for the Neumann Laplacian on the periodic thin structure. This convergence provides a strong operator-level approximation and allows spectral properties of the original problem to be compared with those of the limiting operator. In particular, the effective model captures the influence of the periodic geometry and resonant components on wave propagation, including the emergence of non-classical dispersion effects.

A key tool in the analysis is the Ryzhov triple framework, which provides an operator-theoretic formulation of the problem through boundary relations and the associated Weyl M-function. This approach allows the resolvent of the Neumann Laplacian on the thin periodic structure to be represented in terms of boundary data. By studying the asymptotic behaviour of the Weyl M-function, we reduce the original resolvent problem to an effective boundary relation, leading to a simplified operator in the norm-resolvent sense. The results contribute to the mathematical understanding of resonant media by connecting the geometry of periodic thin structures with the effective resolvent and spectral properties of the corresponding Neumann Laplacian. They also provide a rigorous framework for reducing thin-structure models to lower-dimensional effective equations while preserving the key features relevant to wave propagation.

Elliot Butterworth

Title: Slow evolution towards generalism in a model of variable dietary range

Abstract: Species sharing a habitat will co-evolve to make use of the available resources, as consumption is modulated by competition and negative feedback loops between consumers and resources. The dietary range of a given species determines the resources it has access to and thus the other species with which it competes. A narrow dietary range avoids competition at the cost of over-reliance on a small selection of resources; conversely a wide dietary range provides more alternatives but also more chance of competition with other species. In this talk, I will describe an investigation of the evolution of dietary range within a mathematical model of niche formation. I will present findings of highly path dependent co-evolution dynamics characterised by long-lived quasi-stable states. Ultimately, stochastic effects drive the evolution of generalist diets, as I will demonstrate with both analysis and simulations.

John Carlo Dimaculangan

Title: Multi-stage volume exclusion models for cell proliferation

Abstract: Cell proliferation and cell movement are fundamentally stochastic processes which lead to variability in the growth and spatial structure of cell populations in many biological settings, such as cell invasion, wound healing, and tumour growth. We develop stochastic, on-lattice agent-based models (ABMs) which incorporate volume exclusion, random movement, and multi-stage representations of the cell cycle. The multi-stage framework enables a more realistic representation of true cell cycle time distributions. We also introduce a novel form of myopic behaviour, where cells sense their local environment when attempting to proliferate. For each ABM, we derive a corresponding continuum partial differential equation (PDE) description under the mean-field approximation. Using numerical simulations, we investigate how different proliferation mechanisms influence population-level dynamics in both the discrete and continuum models. In particular, we consider the biologically relevant contexts of growth-to-confluence assays under uniform initial conditions and travelling wave behaviour associated with cell invasion. We examine how the PDE solutions compare with the average behaviour of the corresponding ABMs over many realisations.


Organisers #

The 2026 SAMBa conference was organised by four SAMBa Cohort 11 PhD students.

Clara Hawkins
ch2174@bath.ac.uk
Bence Kaszás
bk654@bath.ac.uk
Veronica Raffetto
vr486@bath.ac.uk